Tennessee Titans 2012 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2012 Tennessee Titans Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2012 NFL regular season
win total line
for the Tennessee Titans set at 7.5 wins.
This number represents an increase of 1 win from Tennessee’s
prior year “preseason” season win total line of 6.5, which the Titans went over
by 2.5 wins, finishing with a record of (9-7)…
This season the Titans are slated to play what appears to be
an easy schedule upon first glance, with the combined winning percentage of their opponents in the prior year
checking in at just .480.
And so it might seem that topping the season win total line again
would be an easy feat.
However, last season six of the Titans victories came against
teams with an average record of 4.5 wins and 11.5 losses.
Yet another victory came in week 17 versus a Houston squad
missing Matt Schaub with little incentive to play locked into the 3 seed playoff slot.
The most impressive win came in week 2 home to Baltimore.
And another over Denver who finished (8-8) in week 3.
This season’s win total line is a mix of a publicized easy schedule combined with the Titans
perhaps not being as strong of a team as last season’s record shows…
The run blocking Tennessee had become known for, morphed into
pass blocking, and RB Chris Johnson essentially lost his way.
Additionally, the possibility of switching from QB Matt Hasselbeck to QB Jake Locker likely
likely kept this line from reaching 8 wins. And that possibility has now become
a reality with Locker names the starter.
Schedule Analysis:
In 2012 the Titans will play 6 games versus teams that made the playoffs last year.
This is the same number of such games compared to the previous season;
However, two other contests jump out versus teams we expect to be playoff caliber.
@Buffalo in week 7 (improved defense added Mario Williams), Chicago in week 9, a team that likely would
have made playoffs last year if not for QB Jay Cutler’s injury. Furthermore, Chicago has added WR Brandon Marshall.
Therefore, we can state half of Tennessee’s schedule is against playoff caliber opponents on paper coming into
the season. And is harder on paper than meets the eye.
Addionally, a trip to San Diego in week 2 looks to be tough as well. Not only the travel,
but QB Philip Rivers clearly had an off-year, and the (8-8) Chargers could bounce back.
A home game versus the Jets in week 15 may also prove difficult to win as the Jets defense
can be tremendous.
Lighter competition includes;
@Minnesota in week 5, home to Indianapolis in week 8, @Miami in week 10, @Jacksonville in week 12,
@Indianapolis in week 14, and home to Jacksonville in week 17.
These six contests
are versus squads that had an average record of just under (4-12) last season… These were
the types of teams Tennessee beat last season. And these squads are helping to overstate the
so called easiness of Tennessee’s schedule on a macro level. But when looked at on a micro level,
or game by game level, things don’t look so easy overall.
Record Projection:
In 2012 we project the Titans to go (7-9), missing the
Vegas season win total of 7.5 games.
Five of their first seven games come against teams that either made the playoffs last season,
are expected to make the playoffs this season, or both… This has the makings of a rough break-in
period for Locker.
Of course if
Chris Johnson can capture him former glory, the Titans could surpass this forecast.
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Free 2012 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2012 NFL record forecasts were made
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