Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the regular season
NFL win total line
for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers set at 7.5 wins.
This number is an increase of 1/2 win
from Tampa Bay’s prior year finish of (7-9)…
It also represents an increase of 1.5 wins compared to last year’s
win total line of 6.
So what’s going on in Vegas? The Tampa Bay ‘Bucs season win total
line is on the rise– all while playing in a division
with the (13-3) Falcons, and the Brees led New Orleans Saints getting
Coach Payton back.
Part of this line has to do with the emergence of RB Doug Martin.
The ‘Bucs also get RG Davin Joseph back from injury. They also planned to
get LG Carl Nicks back as well– although the timetable has been
increased due to a staph infection. Upon his return, Tampa will surely
sport the best offensive line in the NFC South
and their rushing game could reach new heights.
Other positive factors on the offensive side of the ball
include the success of WR Vincent Jackson in his first
season with Tampa Bay, and the re-emergence of WR Mike Williams.
On the negative side, the ‘Bucs WR depth is poor, and there is weakness at the TE position.
On defense Tampa had the league’s worst pass defense last season.
One reason was an injury to DE Adrian Clayborn… While his return in ’13
could help take pressure off DE Gerald McCoy creating a stronger
pass rush year over year, we must also factor the loss of DE Michael Bennett
to Seattle in free agency.
But the greatest reason for the poor pass defense was a porous secondary
which the Buccaneers addressed with the signings of CB Darrelle Revis
and S Dashon Goldson.
If Revis can come anywhere close to previous
form returning from a torn ACL, it should dramatically improve the pass defense,
while also resulting in
in coverage sacks… Goldson’s presence is likely to magnify this effect.
On the downside, the departure of DT Roy Miller is likely to hurt Tampa’s run
defense.
Overall there are considerably more positive than negatives.
2013 Schedule Analysis:
Tampa Bay’s schedule ranks middle of the road in 2013, with an easier slate of home contests
compared to road games. Overall, the
‘Bucs will play just 5 games versus playoff squads from a season ago.
That’s 1 less playoff caliber contest compared to last season.
The first 3 of these 5 games are on the road. The trip to Seattle will be a long one.
But so will San Francisco’s trip to Tampa in week 15 which happens to be sandwiched between
home dates for the 49ers versus Seattle and Atlanta. The ingredients may be there for Tampa
to take this game versus the NFC’s top Super Bowl favorite… A home win versus Atlanta
would also be just what the doctor ordered.
8 Other potentially competitive games include;
New Orleans in week 2, Philadelphia in week 6,
Carolina in week 8, Miami in week 10, @Detroit in week 12,
@Carolina in week 13, @St. Louis in week 16, and @New Orleans in week 17…
Winning more than half of these games (5 minimum) would go a long way toward
a possible playoff berth.
Lighter competition includes;
@NY Jets in week 1, Arizona in week 4, and Buffalo in week 14… These 3 matchups
are games the ‘Bucs should take.
A Schedule plus:
With LG Carl Nicks currently out, the ‘Bucs are fortunate that 3 of their first 4 games
come against teams that were very poor against the run last season including;
@NY Jets, New Orleans, and Arizona.
Record Projection:
In 2013 we project the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to surprise and take the NFC South
with a (10-6) record, topping the Vegas season win total line of 7.5 wins.
The Buccaneers have a great opportunity in front of them.
Division rivals Atlanta & Carolina have weak offensive lines. And with so many upgrades
to Tampa’s pass defense, the ‘Bucs could pose a threat to these teams in their
current state… Meanwhile, New Orleans has serious issues on the defensive
side of the ball, making them potentially ripe for the picking.
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