Seattle Seahawks 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 Seattle Seahawks Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013 regular season
win total line
for the Seattle Seahawks set at 10.5 wins.
These season win total odds represent a decrease of 1/2 win compared to Seattle’s
prior season record of (11-5).
However, this number also represents an increase of 3 wins compared
to the Seahawks’ regular season win total line from
last preseason…
It’s no secret how amazing Seattle’s defense was last season.
The team allowed the fewest overall points in the league by a wide margin.
Unfortunately, the Seahawks are facing several injury issues on the defensive line
which will affect their pass rush as DE Chris Clemons fights to recover from a torn ACL,
and newly
aquired DE Cliff Avril struggles with a hamstring injury.
Also affecting the pass rush is Bruce Irvin’s 4 game suspension.
The Seahawks are also injured on the offensive side of the ball,
with newly acquired WR Percy Harvin recovering
from hip surgery.
How will these negative factors affect Seattle’s chances of topping the Vegas 10.5
win total line?
A look into Seattle’s 2013 schedule may provide some clues.
Schedule Analysis:
First of all, in 2013 the Seahawks will play the leagues 2nd toughest slate of road games
with the winning percentage
of their opponents checking in at .594.
We grade 7 of 8 road games as tough;
@Carolina in week 1, @Houston in week 4, @Indianapolis in week 5,
@St. Louis in week 8, @Atlanta in week 10, @San Francisco in week 14,
@NY Giants in week 15.
At the same time, Seattle will play one of the easier
home strength of schedules which we view as unfortunate for the Seahawks
considering their extremely strong home field advantage.
It would be preferable to play the tougher slate of games at home.
That said, let’s examine Seattle’s first four games with respects to their injuries on defense
& suspension, as we think it likely Seattle will have all three defenders back after the first
quarter of the season.
They open in Carolina in week 1. The long trip and hot environment alone could
be enough to level the playing field. It’s possible Seattle would drop this game even at
full strength given QB Cam Newton’s ability to evade the rush.
In week 2, Seattle hosts San Francisco. Again, this is another game the Seahawks could
easily lose, even at full strength… Especially since the last time these squads met,
the Seahawks blew the 49ers out. And thus ‘Frisco is likely to be the more motivated squad…
Keep in mind Seattle is certainly qualified enough to pay the ‘Niners back later in the season on the road.
In week 3, it’s a cake walk at home versus Jacksonville.
And in week 4, it’s a trip to Houston. This is one of Seattle’s many difficult road games. And
certainly a game that could be lost even at full strength.
Our point here is that even if the Seahawks were at full strength they could
start the season (1-3) based on SOS alone.
Don’t get us wrong. The Seahawks are certainly good enough to win all four of these games.
But if they stumble out of the gate due to missing personal, do we think it will be a season killer?
No we do not.
Record Projection:
In 2013 we project the Seahawks to go (12-4), topping the Vegas season win total line of 10.5 wins.
If Seattle stumbles out of the gate due to their injury woes, they are more than strong enough
to survive it, likely taking their remaining 7 home games, and at least 4, perhaps 5 of their remaining
road contests, in spite of the strong competition.
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