New York Giants 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 New York Giants Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013
regular
season win total betting line
for the New York Giants set at 9 wins…
This represents the same number of wins the Giants chalked up last regular season when they finished (9-7)
and missed the playoffs… Ironically, that was the same record they posted two seasons ago en route to their
second Super
Bowl win over New England.
This year’s season win total line of 9 is also the same as last season’s line coming into the season.
And we correctly projected the Giants would push that number, which they did, finishing at
the aforementioned mark of (9-7).
Factors working against this year’s line
include a poor run defense and lack of pass rush
displayed by the Giants in ’12. And let’s mention the loss of recent
second half of season road win magic too.
There’s also uncertainty at running back with the departure of Ahmad Bradshaw,
and inexperienced Davd Wilson
slated to carry the season load. Not to mention uncertainty about how Jason Pierre-Paul’s back
might affect his play.
Other concerns include weakness at linebacker, the age of the offensive line,
whether or not WR Hakeem Nicks can make it through a full season
without getting hurt, Justin Tuck’s play,
and now the loss of SS Stevie Brown.
On the plus side, the Giants go from facing the hardest schedule in the
NFL last season on paper,
to facing one of the softer schedules on paper here in 2013.
Another plus
is the signing of Cullen Jenkins to help stop the run.
The lighter strength of schedule is certainly helping to keep the Giants’
season win total line from dropping below 9 in the face of so many
negatives.
Schedule Analysis:
In 2013 the Giants will play 6 games versus teams that made the postseason
a year ago. This is a reduction of 1 such matchup compared to last season;
Other potentially competitive matchups include;
@Dallas in week 1, @Carolina in week 3, @Chicago in week 6,
@Philadephia in week 8, Dallas in week 10, @Detroit in week 16.
Overall depending on your opinion of trip to Philadelphia and Detroit,
there’s at least 10 tough games on the schedule. So it would seem the Giants schedule is tougher in reality than how it grades on paper.
The key reason for this is the SOS number has been dragged down by the 2 games versus Philadelphia (4-12),
@Kansas City (2-14), Oakland (4-12), and @Detroit (4-12)… The records of these teams was so poor last season,
it makes the overall schedule seem light, even though there are at least 10 tough games ahead for the Giants.
Record Projection:
In 2013 we now project the Giants to go (9-7), pushing the Las Vegas season win total
of 9 wins yet again. This is a slight downgrade from our opening projection.
There are many negatives to focus on, and upon further review, the Giants’ overall schedule in
2013 is tougher than meets the eye.
If Jason Pierre-Paul and/or Justin Tuck regain past form, there could definitely be
upside to this projection.
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Free 2013 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2013 NFL record forecasts were made
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football campaign which may have affected
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