Jacksonville Jaguars 2012 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2012 Jacksonville Jaguars Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2012 NFL regular season
win total line
for the Jacksonville Jaguars set at 5.5 wins.
This number represents a decrease of 1 win from Jacksonville’s
prior year “preseason” season win total line of 6.5 which saw
the Jaguars go under the number
by 1.5 wins, finishing with a record of (5-11)…
Note when the Jags released David Garrard,
the 6.5 number came off the board or heavy juice was added.
Schedule Analysis:
In 2012 the Jaguars find themselves with a middle of the road strength of schedule
with the combined winning percentage of their opponents in the prior year
checking in exactly at the .500 mark.
The ‘Jags will play 6 contests versus teams that made the playoffs last season.
This is a decrease of 1 such game compared to the previous season;
However, two other contests jump out versus teams we expect to be playoff caliber.
Home to Chicago in week 5, a team that likely would
have made playoffs last year if not for QB Jay Cutler’s injury. Furthermore, Chicago added WR Brandon Marshall…
At Buffalo in week 13 (improved defense added Mario Williams).
Therefore, we can state half of Jacksonville’s schedule is against playoff caliber opponents on paper coming into
the season. The schedule is already looking harder on paper than originally meets the eye.
A home game versus the Jets in week 14 may also prove difficult to win as the Jets defense
can be tremendous.
Other potentially difficult matchups include
the 2 customary tilts with Tennessee.
Lighter competition in 2012 includes;
@Minnesota in week 1, @Indianapolis in week 3, @Oakland in week 7,
home to Indianapolis in week 10, and @Miami in week 15.
As you can see, 4 out of 5, or 80% of Jacksonville’s easier contests are on the road,
making these games that much tougher… While 7 of 8 of Jacksonville’s hardest games
are at home.
A key to Jacksonville’s season will be how often they can rise to the occasion at home
against much better teams. Perhaps 1 or 2 times could be expected. But 7 is a large number
for this category.
Record Projection:
In 2012 we now project the Jaguars to go (4-12), a slight downgrade
from our opening projection, and falling shy of the
Vegas season win total of 5.5 games.
With the worst passing offense in the prior campaign, the Jaguars will rely
on free agent WR Laurent Robinson, and 1st round pick WR Justin Blackmon to
make an impact. But much of it will be up to Blaine Gabbert
playing against a very rough home schedule. So we’re not expecting much improvement
in the record department year over year.
Of course the Jaguars have a solid run defense. And if their pass defense can
get up to speed, then there is certainly some upside to this projection.
Before reviewing the archived free NFL season win total predictions from preseason of
2012, remember to
get your subscription this season for FootballLOCKS.com’s
NFL office pool picks which are provided both versus the line and pick ’em without the spread.
You’ll get access to
FootballLOCKS.com’s top rated weekly
NFL predictions ATS made using backwards odds handicapping
of Las Vegas NFL latest lines. Click to view
membership options now.
Finally, you’ll also receive FootballLOCKS.com’s best rated weekly NFL over/under
picks for the duration of your pass.
Free 2012 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2012 NFL record forecasts were made
during the 2012 preseason.
Naturally many team components can alter throughout the yearly
football campaign which may have affected
FootballLOCKS.com’s preseason opinion of the outlook for any given team
during the 2012 season.
Act now to get a pass for FootballLOCKS.com’s weekly
NFL football picks
including two types of weekly regular season pool plays.
NFL Season Win Total Over/Under Picks:
If you order a
FootballLOCKS.com pass before the start of the season
you’ll get complete access to all of
FootballLOCKS.com’s
top ranked NFL win totals predictions for the regular season.
If you sign up after the season has begun,
you will of course receive all of FootballLOCKS.com’s week to week NFL selections against the spread
for the length of your pass, and you will get all of
FootballLOCKS.com’s NFL totals picks and top ranked teasers, also
for the time period of
your subscription.
Click for more information.