Indianapolis Colts Archived 2013 Season Preview - AFC South NFL Predictions 2013:'s free NFL football predictions.
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2013 Indianapolis Colts Prediction
Projected Finish (8-8) – 9/7/2013
2nd Place AFC South

More Indianapolis Colts Predictions | Latest Season Win Total Prediction | Latest Projected Standings

Indianapolis Colts 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:

2013 Indianapolis Colts Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013 NFL regular season win total line for the Indianapolis Colts set at 8.5 wins. This number represents an increase of 3 wins compared to the Colts’ prior year regular season win total line of 5.5 which Indianapolis topped with a record of (11-5) and a surprise playoff berth.

It’s also worth noting this season’s win total line is 2.5 wins below the Colts 11 win finish of a season ago.

Is Vegas projecting a step back for the Colts in 2013?

We think a closer look at last season’s results are in order. Of the Colts’ 11 wins, we find 7 victories came versus teams in near or total disarray.

  • Cleveland (5-11)
  • @Tennessee (6-10)
  • @Jacksonville (2-14)
  • Buffalo (6-10)
  • @Detroit (4-12)
  • Tennessee (6-10)
  • @Kansas City (2-14)

Granted you can only beat the teams you’re scheduled to play. However, the Colts also dropped a home game to Jacksonville (2-14), and a road game @NY Jets (6-10).

However, offsetting these questionable losses were three home wins over teams that went on to the playoffs; Minnesota (10-6) Green Bay (11-5), and Houston (12-4).

Changes for 2013:
The Colts brought in a slew of free agents in an effort to address weaknesses on the offensive line, running back, defensive line, linebacker, and in the secondary.

Schedule Analysis:
In 2013 the Colts face the 3rd easiest schedule on paper with the combined winning percentage of their opponents checking in at .461.

However, this number is misleading because the Colts will play an inordinate number of games versus teams whose record was so poor last season, it skews the overall strength of schedule number down.

  • Oakland (4-12) in week 1
  • @Jacksonville (2-14) in week 4
  • @Arizona (5-11) in week 12
  • @Kansas City (2-14) in week 16
  • Jacksonville (2-14) in week 17

Looked at in reverse, this would be the equivalent of playing 3 teams that went (14-2), one team (12-4), and another (11-5).

That said, the Colts do play 6 games versus teams that made the playoffs a year ago. This is an increase of 1 such matchup compared to the previous season;

Other potentially competitive matchups include;

  • Miami in week 2 (Added WR Mike Wallace)
  • St. Louis in week 10 (Went 4-1-1 in the NFC West last season)
  • @Tennessee in week 11 (Improved roster)
  • Tennessee in week 13 (Also played Colts tightly last season)

One additional game is @San Diego in week 6– a Charger team that appears to be sinking.

Overall we project as many as 11 competitive matchups for the Colts in 2013– if you are willing to include 2 tilts with Tennessee as competitive, and a trip to Kansas City, a team with a solid QB upgrade with Alex Smith.

Record Projection:
In 2013 we project the Colts to go (8-8), falling shy of the Vegas season win total line of 8.5 wins.

The Colts may have improved their roster with several free agent signings, but they are not the only team trying to win now.

Considering the large number of wins the Colts scored last season against teams in disarray, we think the Colts will have a tough job matching the success, as their schedule contains as many as 11 matchups versus competitive teams compared to just 7 a season ago.

That said, the Colts showed they can compete with playoff teams. However, they can also struggle against struggling teams.

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Free 2013 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2013 NFL record forecasts were made during the 2013 preseason. Naturally many team components can alter throughout the yearly football campaign which may have affected’s preseason opinion of the outlook for any given team during the 2013 season.

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Team By Team Free NFL Season Win Totals Note:
When reading NFL record outlooks consider that much can change throughout the course of the regular season that can affect’s in season opinion of these early NFL season win total forecasts… These pro football predictions are made before getting an complete picture of what each team might have in store for the season. Beware of using any NFL outlook, preview, or NFL season win total over/under prediction to make large NFL wagers on season win totals that would be unaffordable to you if such bets were to be lost.

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