Denver Broncos 2011 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2011 Denver Broncos Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
Oddsmakers currently have the regular season
win total betting line for the Denver Broncos set at 5.5 wins…
This number represents an increase of 1.5 wins from the Broncos’
prior year regular season mark of (4-12).
Part of this line has to do with the fact that
there’s only so low Vegas can make the number
before inviting completely lopsided action to the over.
That being said, the 5.5 win number is tied for the lowest total in the AFC– as the
Broncos are entering a rebuilding phase with new head
coach John Fox cleaning up after the Josh McDaniels fiasco.
Not to mention the Broncos are tied with a handful of
other teams for having the 3rd toughest schedule on paper in 2011.
The combined winning percentage of their opponents in the prior
season was .520.
Schedule Analysis:
In 2011 the Broncos will play 6 games versus teams that made the playoffs a season ago.
This is the same number of such contests as a season ago;
Other potentially difficult matchups for the 2011 Broncos include;
San Diego in week 5, @Miami in week 7, Detroit in week 8,
@Oakland in week 9, @San Diego in week 12, and @Minnesota in week 13.
Lighter competition on paper include the following games;
Oakland in week 1, Cincinnati in week 2, @Tennessee in week 3,
and @Buffalo in week 16.
Overall we project Denver to be underdogs in approximately 75% of their games,
perhaps more.
Record Projection:
In 2011 we project the Broncos to go (2-14), falling shy of the Las
Vegas season win total of 5.5 games.
There is potential for upside
if Fox can turn the defense around, the running game improves,
and QB Kyle Orton &
WR Brandon Lloyd prove their connection wasn’t a one season wonder.
But that’s a lot of “ifs.”
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Free 2011 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2011 NFL record forecasts were made
during the 2011 preseason.
Of course many team components can alter throughout the yearly
football campaign which may have affected
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at any point in the season.
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