Cleveland Browns 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:

2013 Cleveland Browns Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013 NFL regular season win total line for the Cleveland Browns set at 6.5 wins. This number represents an increase of 1.5 wins from Cleveland’s prior season record of (5-11). It also represents an increase of 1.5 wins over last season’s win total line of 5, which the Browns subsequently pushed with at (5-11).

Part of the improvement in this line has to do with a new coaching staff implementing systems that better compliment the talent pool.

On offense, expectations are that Weeden, Richardson, and crew should perform better under Norv Turner’s offense. The Browns certainly have a strong enough offensive line to compensate for questions at QB and WR, although there are injuries at RG. Also the acquisition of WR Davone Bess could prove wise.

On the defensive side of the ball, new coordinator Ray Horton brings a new scheme designed to generate pressure on the QB. High priced free agent OLB Paul Kruger was brough in to help make this vision a reality. If it works, it should help improve the perfeormance of the secondary.

Meanwhile, DT Phil Taylor is healthy after missing half of last season. And the Browns will also have CB Joe Haden to start the season unlike last year.

However, there have also been key losses including; Phil Dawson & Josh Cribbs.

And the reality is, the Vegas season win total line of 6.5 is tied with that of Buffalo, NY Jets, and Tennessee for third lowest number in the AFC behind Jacksonville and Oakland.

Schedule Analysis:
Last season the Browns faced the 3rd toughest schedule on paper.

This season Cleveland’s schedule is much easier with the combined winning percentage of their opponents checking in at .492.

However, Cleveland will still play 7 games versus playoff teams from a season ago. While that’s a decrease of one such contest compared to last season, it’s still a high number, no thanks to having two playoff teams in their division– Super Bowl winner Baltimore, and wildcard team Cincinnati.

Playoff caliber competition;
Other than the two tilts each with the above returning playoff teams / division rivals, the Browns will play the following returning playoff teams; @Minnesota in week 3, @Green Bay in week 7, @New England in week 14.

As you can see, the road schedule is very tough, which means Cleveland’s home schedule must be lighter since the combined winning percentage of their opponents checks in at .492.

Some of the more winnable home games include; Miami in week 1, Buffalo in week 5, Detroit in week 6, and Jacksonville in week 13.

Record Projection:
In 2013 we now project the Browns to go (6-10), falling just below the Vegas season win total line. This is a slight downgrade from our opening projection.

While we like what the Browns are doing, and they do have several winnable games on paper, there also have a large number of contests versus playoff caliber foes…

As far as potential upside to this projection goes, division rival Pittsburgh appears to be in transition. And there may be an opportunity for the Browns to pass the Steelers in the standings this season.

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Free 2013 NFL Predictions Note:
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