Atlanta Falcons 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 Atlanta Falcons Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013 Atlanta Falcons regular season
NFL win total line
set at 9.5 wins…
This number represents an reduction of 3.5 wins from the ‘Falcs prior season mark of (13-3)…
It’s also an increase of 1/2 win from Atlanta’s prior year regular season win total line of 9,
which the Falcons soared past en route to their (13-3) mark.
Everyone knows the strengths of the Falcons. QB, WR, TE, RB,
pass coverage linebacking, LCB, safety, and K.
So why is Atlanta’s season win total odds line still under 10, on the heels
of a (13-3) finish and near Super Bowl appearance?
A major factor working against the season win total line is a potentially dire
situation on the offensive line with the questionable release of RT Clabo, injury to
RG Mike Johnson, and retirement of C McClure. Preseason was not pretty.
Other negative factors include inexperience at RCB, and weakness on the defensive line–
most notably in the pass rushing department with the departure of aging John Abraham.
Osi Umenyiora was signed. But there’s a reason the Giants let him go.
Schedule Analysis:
In 2013 the Falcons will suit up just 5 times versus teams that made the playoffs
a year ago. This is the same low number of such matchups as in the prior season.
However, other potentially competitive matchups include;
- @New Orleans in week 1 (Return of Coach Payton, Although No Defense to Speak of)
- St. Louis in week 2 (Went 4-1-1 in the NFC West last season)
- @Miami in week 3 (Gave up just 317 points last season, Strong Pass Rush, and added WR Mike Wallace)
- Tampa Bay in week 7 (Addition of CB Revis)
- @Arizona in week 8 (Top 5 Ranked Pass Defense)
- @Carolina in week 9 (Solid Pass Rush Goes Against Atlanta’s Weakness)
- @Tampa Bay in week 11 (Did We Mention Revis?)
- New Orleans in week 12 (Shoot Out)
- Carolina in week 17 (Concerned About the State of Atlanta OL by This Point in the Season)
Most Important Games of the Season?
We see the 2 contests versus Carolina as potentially the most telling games of the season for Atlanta
as it matches a team with a great pass rush (Carolina), but no secondary, against
a team with a top QB and great WR’s (Atlanta), with almost no offensive line to speak of.
Will the Panthers pass rush get to Ryan before his WR’s can torch a weak secondary?
Asked another way– Will Ryan and crew torch the Panthers weak secondary before the Panther pass rush can
get by a questionable Falcon offensive line?
The answer to this question could prove to be the difference between Atlanta reaching
double digit wins or not in 2013.
Lighter competition includes;
NY Jets in week 5, @Buffalo in week 13.
Overall the Faclons’ schedule in 2013 is harder on paper compared to 2012, with far fewer cupcakes,
and plenty of contests versus teams with excellent pass rushes
which could slow down the Falcons passing game considering the weak
situation on the offensive line.
Record Projection:
In 2013 we are going out on a limb projecting the Falcons to go (9-7)
falling short of the Vegas season win total line of 9.5.
A win total of 9.5 isn’t the highest number for a team expected by many to be a
Super Bowl contender. We’ll take this as a tip from the linesmakers
that Atlanta may struggle to win the NFC South, let alone reach the big game.
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