Philadelphia Eagles 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 Philadelphia Eagles Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013
regular season win total betting line
for the Philadelphia Eagles set at 7.5 wins.
This number represents a year over year
drop of 2.5 wins compared to last season's win total line of 10
which the Eagles fell short of by 6 wins, finishing with a mark of (4-12).
Oddsmakers have set a line that is 3.5 wins above the Eagles prior year record, yet
far short of last season's higher expectations.
Negative factors affecting this line include the Eagles finishing at a net negative 164 points last season,
a portion of which can be attributed to a poor turnover ratio, sub-par rush defense,
and injuries on offensive line.
Other negative factors include questions about whether or not key skill position players can
make it through a full season without injury. Already WR Maclin has been lost.
Unknowns include secondary uncertainties-- with the release of several
players. Not to mention the defense has switched to a 3-4,
and has several new faces up front as well.
On the plus side, the Eagles have a new system in place with Chip Kelly. They are
strong at running back and solid at linebacker. And if the offensive line stays healthy,
that could go a long way toward improving on last season's record.
Additionally, last season the Eagles had the 7th hardest schedule on paper
entering the season... This year they are tied for the 19th hardest schedule on paper
with the winning percentage of their opponents checking in at .496.
In 2013 the Eagles will play just 5 games versus teams that made the playoffs last season.
This is a decrease of 3 such games compared to the last season.
Unfortunately, 4 of the above 5 contests are on the road... If the Eagles can win 2 of these
contests, we think it would exceed oddsmakers' expectations.
7 matchups versus other quality opponents include;
Kansas City in week 3 (QB upgrade), @NY Giants in week 5, @Tampa Bay in week 6 (added Revis & Goldson), Dallas in week 7, NY Giants in week 8, Chicago in week 16,
@Dallas in week 17...
Medium to light competition includes;
home to San Diego in week 2,
@Oakland in week 9, home to Arizona in week 13,
and home to Detroit in week 14...
While the Eagles' schedule projects as light overall, it seems the poor records of Kansas City,
Arizona, Detroit, and Oakland have brought down the overall SOS number. When considering the improvements
in Tampa Bay and Kansas City,
the Eagles will still suit up 12 times versus quality opponents.
In 2013 we now project the Eagles to go (6-10). This is a small downgrade before the season gets ready to kick off, following an initial upgrade from our opening
projection, thereby bringing the total number of expected wins back to our opening number of 6, and hence falling short of the
Vegas season win total of 7.5 games. We see a too many uncertainties and difficult matchups
to project much higher in 2013.
But if the Eagles stay healthy, and division rivals do not, there could be upside
to this projection.
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