Oakland Raiders 2013 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2013 Oakland Raiders Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2013 NFL regular season
win total line
for the Oakland Raiders set at 5.5 wins.
This represents a reduction of 1.5 wins compared to last season's
win total over/under of 7
which the Raiders went under with a record of (4-12),
as they went net negative 153 points on the season.
The big move in this line year over year is partially based on the departure of
QB Carlson Palmer,
leaving either Terrelle Pryor or recent acquisition Matt Flynn as
The negative line movement is also the
result of the Raiders' poor net point differential,
considerably worse than in the prior season.
Furthermore, the Raiders' on field performance is likely to be hindered
by a gargantuan dead money salary cap situation.
The Raiders did their best to bring in new players including;
QB Matt Flynn, RCB Tracy Porter, FS Charles Woodson, LCB Mike Jenkins,
MLB Nick Roach,
WLB Kevin Burnett, SLB Sio Moore,
NT Pat Sims, and DT Vance Walker.
But the list of departures is similarly as long;
QB Carson Palmer, WR Darrius Heyward-Bey,
DT Richard Seymour, DT Tommy Kelly, DT Desmond Bryant,
DE Matt Shaughnessy, LB Philip Wheeler, LB Rolando McClain, DB Michael Huff, P Shane Lechler.
In the end, the one team strength looks to be cornerback.
Meanwhile, weaknesses abound.
In 2013 the Raiders find themselves with the 4th easiest schedule in the league,
with the combined winning percentage of their opponents in the prior year
checking in at the .469 mark.
A similarly weak schedule did little to help the silver & black last season.
Looking inside the numbers we see the Raiders with the 2nd easiest home schedule,
but a road schedule that's in the top third for toughness. In other words,
the schedule is unbalanced in terms of strength home and away.
In 2013 the Raiders will play just 5 games versus teams that made the playoffs in the prior season.
This is a decrease of 2 such games compared to their prior year campaign;
3 of 5 of these matchups take place in the first four weeks. A daunting start
considering the quarterback situation.
Other potentially imposing matchups for the silver & black in their current state include;
San Diego in week 5,
@Kansas City in week 6,
Pittsburgh in week 8,
Philadelphia in week 9,
@NY Giants in week 10,
Tennessee in week 12,
@Dallas in week 13,
@NY Jets in week 14,
Kansas City in week 15, and
@San Diego in week 16.
While several of the above teams also have their fair share of issues,
there's only 1 team in the league on the Raiders'
schedule with a lower Vegas season win total line.
That would be Jacksonville.
And hence, lighter competition includes;
Jacksonville in week 2.
In 2013 we now project the Raiders to go (0-16), a downgrade of the one earlier projected victory here before
the season gets ready to kickoff, and hence falling under the
Vegas regular season win total of 5.5 wins.
If the Raiders prove us wrong in 2013,
it should be very interesting and exciting to watch.
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