Jacksonville Jaguars 2012 Season Win Total Outlook & Projection:
2012 Jacksonville Jaguars Las Vegas Season Win Total Line;
As of this writing, oddsmakers have the 2012 NFL regular season
win total line
for the Jacksonville Jaguars set at 5.5 wins.
This number represents a decrease of 1 win from Jacksonville's
prior year "preseason" season win total line of 6.5 which saw
the Jaguars go under the number
by 1.5 wins, finishing with a record of (5-11)...
Note when the Jags released David Garrard,
the 6.5 number came off the board or heavy juice was added.
In 2012 the Jaguars find themselves with a middle of the road strength of schedule
with the combined winning percentage of their opponents in the prior year
checking in exactly at the .500 mark.
The 'Jags will play 6 contests versus teams that made the playoffs last season.
This is a decrease of 1 such game compared to the previous season;
However, two other contests jump out versus teams we expect to be playoff caliber.
Home to Chicago in week 5, a team that likely would
have made playoffs last year if not for QB Jay Cutler's injury. Furthermore, Chicago added WR Brandon Marshall...
At Buffalo in week 13 (improved defense added Mario Williams).
Therefore, we can state half of Jacksonville's schedule is against playoff caliber opponents on paper coming into
the season. The schedule is already looking harder on paper than originally meets the eye.
A home game versus the Jets in week 14 may also prove difficult to win as the Jets defense
can be tremendous.
Other potentially difficult matchups include
the 2 customary tilts with Tennessee.
Lighter competition in 2012 includes;
@Minnesota in week 1, @Indianapolis in week 3, @Oakland in week 7,
home to Indianapolis in week 10, and @Miami in week 15.
As you can see, 4 out of 5, or 80% of Jacksonville's easier contests are on the road,
making these games that much tougher... While 7 of 8 of Jacksonville's hardest games
are at home.
A key to Jacksonville's season will be how often they can rise to the occasion at home
against much better teams. Perhaps 1 or 2 times could be expected. But 7 is a large number
for this category.
In 2012 we now project the Jaguars to go (4-12), a slight downgrade
from our opening projection, and falling shy of the
Vegas season win total of 5.5 games.
With the worst passing offense in the prior campaign, the Jaguars will rely
on free agent WR Laurent Robinson, and 1st round pick WR Justin Blackmon to
make an impact. But much of it will be up to Blaine Gabbert
playing against a very rough home schedule. So we're not expecting much improvement
in the record department year over year.
Of course the Jaguars have a solid run defense. And if their pass defense can
get up to speed, then there is certainly some upside to this projection.
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Free 2012 NFL Predictions Note:
Remember these now archived 2012 NFL record forecasts were made
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